Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 16.129298 18.338300 20.850730 23.943610 27.681488 32.095527 37.766629
2025-07-20 13.592842 16.445240 19.980410 24.769174 31.224135 39.834700 52.573056
2025-07-27 11.607303 14.584827 18.477222 24.085706 32.222578 44.054419 63.515237
2025-08-03 10.686120 13.873369 18.239078 24.889359 35.221532 51.554588 81.484048
2025-08-10 9.648703 12.832612 17.348628 24.527061 36.297588 56.216022 96.248132
2025-08-17 8.818323 11.969691 16.574475 24.169747 37.235345 60.769243 112.435148
2025-08-24 8.173892 11.299030 15.989602 23.993290 38.393940 65.940230 132.023722
2025-08-31 7.529561 10.561311 15.211171 23.368660 38.606061 69.291074 148.945395
2025-09-07 7.053066 10.034752 14.705940 23.130224 39.473720 74.187878 172.286612
2025-09-14 6.473969 9.300182 13.792361 22.049504 38.499178 74.794774 184.006525
2025-09-21 5.948205 8.613214 12.900262 20.906631 37.217917 74.403495 192.661322
2025-09-28 5.573826 8.144589 12.337079 20.311574 36.987217 76.502426 210.930909
2025-10-05 5.716313 8.541984 13.310060 22.809035 44.055893 99.869208 329.604046
2025-10-12 5.571547 8.447905 13.411415 23.610542 47.501779 115.053619 437.145529
2025-10-19 5.239529 8.009090 12.848478 22.968000 47.310134 119.189798 494.794765
2025-10-26 5.121086 7.930873 12.941043 23.722006 50.825462 137.017358 668.686846
2025-11-02 4.876365 7.613125 12.554980 23.382178 51.380856 144.865022 792.620445
2025-11-09 4.652642 7.318821 12.190438 23.046924 51.889556 152.889744 941.896066
2025-11-16 4.465862 7.079739 11.914438 22.881323 52.858747 163.365984 1153.448248
2025-11-23 4.247514 6.770818 11.478773 22.294911 52.477692 168.056559 1320.803266
2025-11-30 4.083003 6.552085 11.207710 22.070978 53.167659 178.078644 1614.739563
2025-12-07 3.849059 6.193251 10.632229 21.055380 51.204560 174.736675 1686.275106
2025-12-14 3.623112 5.840297 10.050910 19.980258 48.906097 169.055035 1704.721171